Project Risk Bibliography

by
Edwin B. Dean

Anon. (1989). Risk Management Concepts and Guidance, Defense Systems Management College, Fort Belvoir VA.

Batson, R. G. (1987). "Critical Path Acceleration and Simulation in Aircraft Technology Planning," IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, Vol. EM-34, No. 4, November, pp. 244-251.

Batson, R. G. and R. M. Love (1988). "Risk Assessment Approach to Transport Aircraft Technology Assessment," AIAA Journal of Aircraft, Vol. 25, No. 2, February, PP. 99-105.

Bell, T. E., ed. (1989). "Special Report: Managing Risk in Large Complex Systems," IEEE Spectrum, June, pp. 21-52.

Beroggi, G. E. G., and W. A. Wallace (1994). "Operational Risk Management: A New Paradigm for Decision Making," IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Vol. 24, No. 10, October, pp. 1450-1457.

Black, R. and J. Wilder (1979). "Fitting a Beta Distribution from Moments," Memorandum, Grumman, PDM-OP-79-115.

Book, S. A. and P. H. Young (1992). "Applying Results of Technical-Risk Assessment to Generate a Statistical Distribution of Total System Cost," presented at the AIAA 1992 Aerospace Design Conference, Irvine CA, 3-6 February.

Chapman, C. B. (1979). "Large Engineering Project Risk Analysis," IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, Vol. EM-26, N0. 3, August, pp. 78-86.

Chiu, L. and T. E. Gear (1979). "An Application and Case History of a Dynamic R&D Portfolio Selection Model," IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, Vol. EM-26, No. 1, February, pp. 2-7.

Cullingford, M. C. (1984). "International Status of Application of Probabilistic Risk Assessment," Risk & Benefits of Energy Systems: Proceedings of an International Symposium, Vienna Austria, IAEA-SM-273/54, pp. 475-478.

Dean, E. B. (1993). " Correlation, Cost Risk, and Geometry," Proceedings of the Fifteenth Annual Conference of the International Society of Parametric Analysts, San Francisco CA, 1-4 June.

Dienemann, P. F. (1966). Estimating Cost Uncertainty Using Monte Carlo Techniques, The Rand Corporation, Santa Monica CA, January, RM-4854-PR.

Dodson, E. N. (1993). Analytic Techniques for Risk Analysis of High-Technology Programs, General Research Corporation, RM-2590.

Fairbairn, R. (1990). "A Method for Simulating Partial Dependence in Obtaining Cost Probability Distributions," Journal of Parametrics, Vol. X, No. 3, October, pp. 17-44.

Garvey, P. R. and A. E. Taub (1992). "A Joint Probability Model for Cost and Schedule Uncertainties," presented at the 26th Annual Department of Defense Cost Analysis Symposium, September.

Greer, W. S., Jr. and S. S. Liao (1986). "An Analysis of Risk and Return in the Defense Market: Its Impact on Weapon System Competition," Management Science, Vol. 32, No. 10, October, pp. 1259-1273.

Hazelrigg, G. A., Jr. and F. L. Huband (1985). "RADSIM - A Methodology for Large-Scale R&D Program Assessment," IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, Vol. EM-32, No. 3, August, pp. 106-115.

Henley, E. J. and Kumamoto, H. (1992). Probabilistic Risk Assessment, IEEE Press, Piscataway NJ.

Hertz, D. B. (1979). "Risk Analysis in Capital Investment," Harvard Business Review, September/October, pp. 169-181.

Honour, E. C. (1994). "Risk Management by Cost Impact," Proceedings of the Fourth Annual International Symposium of the National Council of Systems Engineering, Vol. 1, San Jose CA,10-12 August, pp. 23-28.Ã

Hutzler, W. P., J. R. Nelson, R. Y. Pei, and C. M. Francisco (1985). "Nonnuclear Air-to-Surface Ordnance for the Future: An Approach to Propulsion Technology Risk Assessment," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 27, pp. 197-227.

Keeney, R. L. and D. von Winterfeldt (1991). "Eliciting Probabilities from Experts in Complex Technical Problems," IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, Vol. 38, No. 3, August, pp. 191-201.

Lau, H. and C. Somarajan (1995).

Markowitz, H. M. (1959). Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investment, 2nd. ed., John Wiley & Sons, New York NY, reprinted in 1991 by Basil Blackwell, Cambridge MA.

McKim, R. A. (1993). "Neural Networks and the Identification and Estimation of Risk," Transactions of the 37th Annual Meeting of the American Association of Cost Engineers, Dearborn MI, 11-14 July, P.5.1-P.5.10.

Ock, J. H. (1996). "Activity Duration Quantification Under Uncertainty: Fuzzy Set Theory Application." Cost Engineering, Vol. 38, No. 1, pp. 26-30.

Quirk, J., M. Olson, H. Habib-Agahi, and G. Fox (1989). "Uncertainty and Leontief Systems: an Application to the Selection of Space Station System Designs," Management Science, Vol.35, No. 5, May, pp. 585-596.

Savvides, S. (1994). "Risk Analysis in Investment Appraisal," Project Appraisal, Vol. 9, No. 1, March, pp. 3-18.

Sholtis, J. A., Jr. (1993). "Promise Assessment: A Corollary to Risk Assesment for Characterizing Benefits," Tenth Symposium on Space Nuclear Power and Propulsion, Alburquerque NM, American Institute of Physics Conference Proceedings 271, Part 1, pp. 423-427.

Shumskas, A. F. (1992). "Software Risk Mitigation," in Schulmeyer, G. G. and J. I. McManus, ed., Total Quality Management for Software, Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York NY.

Skjong, R. and J. Lerim (1988). "Economic Risk of Offshore Field Development," Transactions of the American Association of Cost Engineers, New York NY, pp. J.3.1-J.3.9.

Timson, F. S. (1968). Measurement of Technical Performance in Weapon System Development Programs: A Subjective Probability Approach, The Rand Corporation, Memorandum RM-5207-ARPA.

Williams, T. (1995). "A Classified Bibliography of Recent Research Relating to Project Risk Management," European Journal of Operations Research, Vol. 85, pp.18-38.

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